Easter Signals: Alpha, Illusions, or Ambush?

Hey Dark Horse Family,

Every holiday leaves clues. But Easter? It’s packed with signals smart money can’t ignore—and traps that rookies walk right into.

Let’s crack this open (no bunny fluff).

🕊️ Holy Thursday: The Hidden Edge

• 73% win rate.

• +0.49% average return.

• The market loves Holy Thursday. The setup?📈 Enter Wednesday. Exit Thursday. Pocket the holiday pump.

😶‍🌫️ Easter Monday: The Mood Shifts

• Historically underperforms.

• Investors often sober up post-holiday euphoria.👉 Take profits before the weekend. Monday’s for regret, not risk.

📉 YTD Momentum = Hidden Forecast

• If the market is down by Easter, the rest of the year usually limps.

• 2025? Already down over 10% by Easter. ⚠️ History whispers: caution ahead.

🔁 Tech’s Resurrection

• Watch AMZN, META, AAPL, GOOGL the week after Easter.

• They often shine—but… 🚫 Don’t chase. Watch sentiment. High flyers attract higher traps.

🛢️ Energy & Telecoms: Weak Links

• VZ, T, and energy stocks tend to struggle post-Easter.

• 🧠 Contrarian angle? Watch for exhaustion plays and emotional overreactions.

🃏 Wildcard: The Fed

• If interest rates are lowered, markets can rocket bullish, overriding all seasonality.

• 👁️ Translation: one Fed pivot can break every pattern.

Final Thought:

Seasonal edges exist—but they aren’t gospel. A true contrarian asks the deeper question:

Is the setup real, or is it just ritual?

Is the market gifting you alpha, or are you chasing last year’s ghost?

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